The National Weather Service publishes an area forecast discussion a few times per day. It's a technical discussion of the ongoing weather setup and explanation for the forecast.
NWS Lubbock meteorologist Jason Jordan has continued his Christmas Eve tradition of getting all the details in the discussion...with some Christmas Eve fun.
This is copied from the NWS Lubbock website. Only reason I copy it here is I don't believe I can save a link that will stay with that one discussion, since new discussions will be published through the day. Enjoy! -Matt
000
FXUS64 KLUB 250516 AAB
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1116 PM CST SAT DEC 24 2011
NOTE...AVIATION AFD IS BELOW.
.UPDATE...
TWAS THE NIGHT BEFORE CHRISTMAS AT LEAST FOR A BIT MORE...
AND WE HAVE BEEN WATCHING THE SNOW FALL OUTSIDE THE DOOR.
THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ALL OF CHRISTMAS DAY...
AMOUNTS IN THE GRIDS ARE NOW THROWN IN THE FRAY
A TROWAL WILL SET UP ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH CHRISTMAS DAY
AND MOISTURE IS IN PLACE WHILE THE SKIES STAY GRAY.
LIFT STAYS CLOSE BY AS THE LOW HARDLY MOVES...
BUT HOW CLOSE WILL IT BE AND WHICH MODEL TO CHOOSE?
BANDING WILL CONTINUE AS WE STAY NORTHEAST OF THE LOW...
OUTSIDE OF THE BANDS THE SNOW WILL FALL SLOW.
SNOW WILL AGGREGATE INSIDE OF THE BANDS
AND ONE INCH PER HOUR RATES COULD COVER THE LANDS.
MOST OF THE AREA HOWEVER WILL SEE RATES A BIT LIGHT...
LESS THAN ONE HALF AN INCH WILL HOPEFULLY BE RIGHT.
ACCUMULATIONS ARE TRICKY WITH SNOW ALREADY DOWN...
7 INCHES IN HALE CENTER WITH AN INCH AROUND TOWN.
IF LIFT COMBINES WITH THE TROWAL AND MOISTURE IN PLACE...
HEAVIER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS COULD DEFINITELY BE THE CASE.
ALL MODELS HINT THAT THE TROWAL WILL BE NEARBY...
BUT THE EXACT LOCATION COULD MAKE ME THE FALL GUY.
WILL HOLD OFF ON CHANGES UNTIL ALL THE MODELS ARRIVE
SO THE MID SHIFT CAN EVALUATE AND SEE IF THEY JIVE.
3 TO 5 INCHES IS WHAT THE NAM TRIES TO ADD
BUT THE CMC SHOWS ONLY ONE AND THAT DIFFERENCE IS BAD.
IF THERE IS GOOD NEWS IN THE CONCERNS I HAVE STATED...
IT IS THAT THE MID SHIFT WILL BE HERE SOON AND HOPEFULLY GLAD
THAT I WAITED.
WILL KEEP ALL THE PRODUCTS GOING IN THE STATE THEY ARE NOW
AND HOPE AND PRAY THAT HEAVIER AMOUNTS I WON/T HAVE TO PLOW.
THE OTHER ISSUE IN PLACE IS THE LOW STAYS FOR A FEW DAYS...
SNOW COULD LINGER INTO MONDAY WHICH WE WILL HAVE TO APPRAISE.
TOO MANY THINGS TO CONSIDER IN THIS LAST HOUR ON OUR SHIFT...
AND THE TAFS STILL HAVE TO BE DONE BEFORE WE GO ADRIFT.
YET ANOTHER CHRISTMAS EVE IS ABOUT TO GO BY
AND MY AFD IS OUT FOR YOU TO ENJOY.
HOWEVER SOME FOLKS DO SAY THAT THIS TRADITION IS GETTING OLD...
THAT IT SHOULD DISAPPEAR LIKE CHEESE COVERED IN MOLD.
THE TRADITION WILL CONTINUE THAT STARTED SO LONG AGO...
OUR THOUGHTS IN RHYME THAT I STRIVE TO BESTOW.
SO ONCE AGAIN BEFORE WE HEAD OUT INTO STUFF FALLING THAT IS WHITE
MERRY CHRISTMAS FROM WFO LUBBOCK...AND TO ALL A GOODNIGHT!
JORDAN
