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WARMER DAYS AHEAD: The storm system that brought rain to much of the region, just not our area, is now spinning across Oklahoma and Kansas. They've had rain and some wintry precip over the Sooner State. It'll take the clouds and cooler air with it. Lubbock's high near 71 today, sunny, wind NW/NE 5-12mph. It'll be a little cooler east, off of the Caprock today:
NEXT FEW DAYS: Upper-level ridging builds in, which means warmer afternoons. It'll warm to near 80 tomorrow, then mid 80s Saturday and Sunday. The SW wind will kick up to 15-25mph tomorrow. The wind may drop off a little bit this weekend, but it'll get breezy each day into next week.
NEXT WEEK: Another storm system should move onto the West Coast some time next week. Problem right now is there is little run-to-run continuity among the longer-range models. This lowers confidence in the forecast. Some models have shown the dry line getting active Sunday or Monday, but right now it looks like that'll be east of here...we stay dry and storms move across North Central Texas.
With the GFS model showing the surface low developing farther north the Storm Prediction Center has highlighted SW Kansas with a heightened risk for severe weather Monday into Tuesday:
While models are pretty poor on specifics right now, the guidance is suggesting it turns cooler here by Wednesday. We'll wait to see if any rain develops along that next strong front.
TORNADO NEAR SILVERTON: The National Weather Service has rated the tornado that moved just south of Silverton Monday an EF-1. A center pivot was damaged, power poles downed and a barn roof destroyed. Click here
- for more on the damage survey. Click here
- for more on the severe weather back on Monday.
ESTIMATED_PEAK_WIND: 109 MPH
PATH_LENGTH_/STATUTE/: 2.5 MILES
PATH_WIDTH_/MAXIMUM/: 100 YARDS
START_DATE: APRIL 1...2013
START_TIME: 4:43 PM CDT
START_LOCATION: 5 MILES SE SILVERTON/TX
END_DATE: APRIL 1...2013
END_TIME: 4:48 PM CDT
END_LOCATION: 7 MILES SE SILVERTON/TX
Have a great day. Rudy will have your updated forecast later today.