Greater accumulations tonight into Sunday

Reported by: Matt Ernst
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Updated: 11/23/2013 7:12 am
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Slow down and use caution if you're driving around the area today. You can get around, but there are many icy patches out there, especially on bridges and overpasses.

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TODAY: It hasn't been much more than some freezing drizzle late last night into this morning, but it's been enough to add a little more ice to surfaces. We do have some actual showers, probably a freezing rain/sleet mix, early this morning across Eastern New Mexico moving into the South Plains area. This will be the general trend today...cloudy, high close to 30, with freezing drizzle possible through the day and a few embedded showers of freezing rain or sleet. The wind is still gusty this morning, NE about 10-18mph. It'll back off some today and get lighter tomorrow, out of the east.

WATCHES/WARNINGS: A winter weather advisory runs until 6 this evening for light wintry accumulations. A winter storm warning, shown in pink below, runs from 6 tonight through Monday morning. The warning means dangerous winter weather is expected or happening.


TONIGHT: The main timeframe for significant accumulations comes late tonight into tomorrow. Latest guidance is still on track with the idea of Midnight tonight through Noon tomorrow. Forecast soundings are still so close on cooling the warmer layer aloft that we don't know where and when this will happen. Once that warm layer is gone we'll get snow. We'll probably see freezing rain and sleet develop late tonight then at some point transition to snow around Lubbock tomorrow morning. It'll be more snow to the northwest and more freezing rain/sleet east of Lubbock.

PROJECTED TOTALS: With this general idea of the transition in mind, totals of 2" to 4" of snow and sleet with some freezing rain accumulation will be common for most of the area, including Lubbock. With earlier snow transition over the western and northwestern South Plains, it'd likely be 3" to 6" of snow and sleet. Areas east of Lubbock are at greatest risk for more than 1/4" of ice with some snow later.

Of course, if we start seeing snow this evening you can up the snow totals up a little. If the warm layer stays in place we won't see much snow and have greater ice problems. We do have a lot of water falling from the sky this weekend. If this were an all-snow winter storm this would be pretty impressive. Instead it's this wintry mix that drives us all crazy.

The frozen precip should fade some late tomorrow into Monday, still with the chance for a few snow showers. Travel will be tougher tomorrow into Monday. We should finally get above freezing Monday afternoon.


Our entire weather team is working through the weekend, check back here for updates.

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