FOX 34 Weather Authority: Flash Flood Warning expires at 5:30 AM on 9/20, issued at 11:31 PM Caprock, NM | Crossroads, NM | Eunice, NM | Hobbs, NM

Hot, few thunderstorms possible next few days

Reported by: Matt Ernst
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Updated: 6/16 4:44 pm
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REST OF TODAY: It's a muggy afternoon with most of the area in the 90s, dew point in the 50s and 60s across the eastern half of the area. The dry line has taken shape across the western South Plains with dew points in the 30s roughly along and west of U.S. 385. While the dry line isn't well organized, we may see some showers and thunderstorms develop near or east of this boundary. We do have a good influx of Pacific moisture across the region, in the form of mid- and upper-level clouds.

We have a chance for thunderstorms through sunset. If storms can get going they'll be able to produce some brief downpours. Storms won't move all that quickly.

NEXT FEW DAYS: The overall pattern doesn't change much. There's an upper-level ridge over the Southeast, with lower pressure over the Pacific Northwest. We're between these two features, so it's neither a strong chance for rain or a completely sunny sky. Each afternoon we've got at least a slight chance for thunderstorms through Wednesday. There may even be an isolated storm in the area Thursday and Friday.

Also, there won't be much change in the temperature day to day, upper 80s to low 90s each afternoon. The average high next few days is 91, so this recent moisture is helping keep the temperature from skyrocketing. It'll also be breezy, tomorrow S/SE wind 12-22mph, Wednesday S/SE 10-20mph. Here is tomorrow' forecast:

 
 
 


There's more uncertainty in the guidance on how the pattern will change this weekend into early next week. Some model runs have been showing a wetter pattern as soon as this weekend, other runs early next week. It looks like we'll have some rain or thunderstorms somewhere in there, just low certainty on when at this point.

 
 
 


TEXAS TECH FORECAST: It's going to be hot for the Red Raiders taking on Ole Miss at the College World Series tomrorow. They've had thunderstorms up there today, but tomorrow it'll be hot and breezy. First pitch in the low 90s, high near 94, wind S 15-25mph.

Check back here for another update to the forecast tomorrow morning. I'll have your detailed outlook tonight on FOX 34 News at Nine.
-Matt
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