Warm and windy today, chance for thunderstorms by weekend

Reported by: Matt Ernst
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Updated: 3/04/2013 7:07 am
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WARM WEATHER: Did you like the warmth yesterday? The high in Lubbock at 82 degrees was the first time we've been in the 80s since November 30, and the warmest day since we hit 83 on November 10. Average high is 63...and we spent most of last week well below the average.

It'll be well above the average today, before a cold front moves through this evening. Lubbock will reach the mid to upper 70s with some 80s from about O'Donnell to Hobbs to Snyder. Models are showing 90s down along the Rio Grande in Deep South Texas. It'll be anothe windy day, wind W/NW 20-30mph, shifting to a northerly wind this evening as the front moves through. Here are the projected highs for the area:

 
 
 


TURNING COOLER: A cold front will move across the area tonight, kicking up the north wind and ushering in cooler air. It'll drop to the upper 20s to low 30s tonight. Tomorrow the temperature will be back below the average, in the mid 50s and sunny.

REST OF THE WEEK: It's a gradual warming pattern with afternoon breezes each day, low 60s Wednesday then low 70s Thursday. Low-level moisture should begin to return to the area by Friday, in response to a large storm system over the western United States.

NEXT RAIN CHANCE: The various global models have been consistent on developing a closed upper low over the western United States this week, moving our way by late in the week. There are some differences between the American GFS, European and Canadian models, but overall it's a good sign. There could be isolated showers or storms late Friday, but models are trending a little slower, suggesting rain and storms Saturday.

Keep in mind this is a storm system still out over the Pacific, not being sampled by the network of upper-air soundings over the United States. For now we'll keep a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms Saturday. It should turn a little cooler Sunday.

 
 
 


SEVERE WEATHER AWARENESS: This is severe weather awareness week across Texas and the United States. We have severe weather tips on the main weather page of myFOXlubbock.com and under the weather tab on the FOX 34 News app.

Today we highlight that we are in tornado alley, which runs from the Southern Plains across Texas and Oklahoma all the way up to the Northern Plains, east to Mississippi and Alabama and north into parts of the Midwest. This said, tornadoes have occurred in every state of the nation.

The most-active months, on average, are May and June. Also, looking at just our area, late May into early June is, on average, the most active time for tornadoes. Once again, tornadoes have occurred in every month of the year. While May and June are usually the busiest months we remind you that tornadoes can happen with the right setup throughout the year, so be ready.

We'll be bringing you reminders or tips through the week. The most important thing is that you and your family have a plan and multiple ways to get warnings, so you know exactly what to do when your area is under a warning.

Rudy will have the next forecast later this afternoon.
-Matt
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Lubbock Weather
65°
Mostly Cloudy

Wind: NNE 12 mph
Feels Like: 65°
High: 85°
Low: 64°

FOX 34 Lubbock Weather Blog
Cooler next several days
A strong mid-summer cold front has moved across our area. Click the Weather Blog for a look at how long the high will be in the 80s.
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