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THIS MORNING: Clouds are building into the region with the temperature in the upper teens and 20s. It's still relatively dry at the surface, which will be a factor in today's forecast.
TODAY: A cut-off low that's been parked off the California coast will move east today, weakening as it does so. This is the storm system that's bringing the clouds overhead. It'll be partly to mostly cloudy, high in the mid 40s, wind SW/S 5-15mph. It'll be a little warmer north in the Panhandle, with the clouds thinner there.
As the storm system moves east we should first see some rain across southern New Mexico this afternoon. Farther east into our area, we'll keep a slight chance for a brief rain shower...mainly SE of Lubbock. The system is weakening, so lift won't be strong. Also, moisture return close to the ground won't be that great, another limiting factor here. If showers do develop they should stay as rain, it'll be relatively warm tonight.
WEAK FRONTS: It looks dry here this weekend through middle of next week. A few weak fronts should move across the area, temporarily knocking the temperature down a few degrees on Saturday then again probably about next Tuesday. None of these fronts are that strong, though Saturday now looks like it'll only reach the 40s.
LONGER RANGE: Next week looks mild but more and more runs of the longer-range computers suggest another colder pattern late next week into that weekend for much of the United States. It's too far out for any specifics, but we'll be watching this trend for it to get cold again just before Christmas.
Have a great day, Rudy will have the next update to the forecast here later today.