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updated 11:35 a.m.
A quick mid-day update here...there have been some sprinkles around the area, even in Lubbock. Unfortunately, this is pretty much all it'll be. We don't have the right setup for rain here, even with the sprinkles it shouldn't amount to measurable rainfall.
Gusts are now picking up to 40-50mph across the western half of the area. Gusts will be strongest through mid-afternoon, topping 50mph across much of the area.
Latest models still support some blowing snow over the Texas Panhandle, Amarillo and points north. There might be a brief light snow shower or some flurries across the SW Panhandle, down to Dimmitt and Muleshoe. But as noted in the morning post below, this is just a slight chance, the ground is warm, and the air temp will be above freezing.
A severe thunderstorm watch has just been posted across parts of Central Texas going up to Fort Worth with tornado watches up from just northeast of Dallas to Oklahoma City and western Arkansas and western Missouri. Big thunderstorms will be rolling east across this region through the afternoon.
WINDY DAY: We've had some patchy dust the past few days but it's going to get even windier today, likely with a bit more dust. The wind is pretty light out of the west this morning, but it'll quickly ramp up late this morning into the afternoon W/SW 25-38mph with gusts of 45-50mph. The wind should be even stronger across our southwestern communities, including Hobbs, Seminole and Lamesa. If a few showers try to form today it'll be so dry that not more than a few sprinkles would reach the ground, but this would further enhance any wind gusts. Across our area isolated gusts to 60mph are possible.
The Weather Service has posted a wind advisory for most of our area, shown below in orange. Stronger wind is expected in the yellow area, where a high wind warning is in place:
It'll be about 20 degrees cooler today than yesterday, high near 54 in Lubbock today. Some highs in the 40s will be mixed in northwest of the city.
RAIN?: We've had a few sprinkles early this morning and we can't rule out a few more through today. We just don't have the support for meaningful rainfall here. A line of thunderstorms has developed just east of our area as of 5 a.m. A tornado watch was posted in the 5 a.m. hour for much of Oklahoma. The severe weather risk increases as this line of storms moves farther east. The primary threat is straight-line wind, though some tornadoes are possible. The standard risk for severe storms is shown in yellow below, with the enhanced, moderate risk in red:
PANHANDLE SNOW: There is cold air behind this storm system. We expect some light blowing snow north of our area over the Texas Panhandle, including Amarillo, late afternoon into this evening. The ground is warm and the temp will be above freezing, so no major issues are expected. There could even be some isolated flurries or a light snow shower into our northwestern area, including Farwell, Dimmitt, Muleshoe and Nazareth. With this powerful system we'll just have to watch how far south the flurries will move. Don't expect any accumulations.
REST OF THE WEEK: It'll be a little breezy tomorrow morning, with the wind dropping off into the afternoon. Tomorrow's high will be in the upper 40s to low 50s, sunny. It'll warm day by day for the rest of the week...60s Thursday through Sunday. A weak front will work to drop the temp slightly Friday, but we'll likely still see the low 60s.
The weather map is pretty quiet this week. We'll have to watch what the next upper-level disturbance will do by early next week. It's too early to know if it'll bring more wind or rain.
Have a great day. Rudy will have the next forecast update here later this afternoon.