Connect with me on Facebook, Twitter and Google+
MAJOR CHANGES AHEAD: Yet again we'll go from 90s one day to a freeze later in the week. Unlike last week, we aren't going to see the change in a 12-hour period...but it will be dramatically different later this week.
It's a mild start with upper 50s to low 60s across the area. It'll warm to the 90s across most of the area, high in Lubbock near 93 with a gusty SW wind and a mainly sunny sky. This would tie the daily record high for today's date. There might be enough moisture combined with the hot temps for a few isolated storms late this afternoon. Even if storms do form they won't produce much rain.
TOMORROW: It'll start mild, close to 60. But a strong front will move across the region during the day. This always brings a large temperature range. We're leaning toward the model runs showing an earlier arrival of the front. This has been the case with the past several fronts and models often underestimate the movement of that cold, dense air.
This means it'll top out in the 50s around Amarillo, temp falling in the afternoon...60s Lubbock...80s for the southern South Plains...and 90s around Midland and the Permian Basin. The temp forecast is tricky but we are confident the front will bring a strong north wind and much colder air. By late tomorrow afternoon into the evening N wind 20-32mph with gusts over 40mph. In fact, the wind won't diminish much until Thursday afternoon.
RAIN POTENTIAL: Behind the front some light rain is possible, late tomorrow night through Thursday morning. Rain amounts will be light. We also have to watch the temperature. It might get cold enough early Thursday for some sleet or snow to mix in for areas north of Lubbock. I think if we see any precip around Lubbock it'd be rain, but it's just a setup we'll have to watch as it unfolds...few degrees makes all the difference. Yes, it is ridiculous to be writing this on April 30.
FREEZING TEMPS: Lubbock's low in the mid 30s with a strong north wind Thursday morning. While the air temp should stay above freezing, the wind chill will be in the 20s. A light freeze is possible for the southern Panhandle, including Muleshoe, Dimmitt, Kress and Silverton Thursday morning.
Thursday will be mostly to partly cloudy, windy, high only in the 50s.
Friday morning a freeze is possible for much of the area, including Lubbock.
RECORDS: Record low in Lubbock Thursday is 32, record on Friday is 30. Also...record for latest freeze in any year in Lubbock iS May 8.
WEEKEND: A nice weekend is on the way, 70s Saturday and Sunday with mostly sunny. The pattern may finally change heading into early next week, which could get moisture in the air and some storms to develop. But it's too far out for specifics, let's focus on the freeze first.
Rudy will have updated information later today. We might both first pound our head against the wall to comprehend the cold air.