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THIS AFTERNOON: Clouds have increased across the region, along with a few tiny showers. Thunderstorms are more numerous across Central New Mexico, but we've had a few of these isolated showers. When I say tiny, they are only a few miles across. There are also a few showers and storms across the Trans-Pecos, Concho Valley and North Central Texas regions, everything slowly drifting northwest. Here is the radar live stream:Live streaming video by Ustream
You could see a brief shower or weak storm through sunset, everything slowly moving to the northwest. The better chance for rain will stay west and south of our area. The rain chance at any one location in our area stays around 10 percent this evening.
TONIGHT: With pretty good moisture in place the low temp will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s area-wide.
SATURDAY: Nearly a repeat of your Friday. The high temp will be near 91, wind SE 5-15mph with clouds increasing through the afternoon. The chance for rain is once again about 10 percent. If showers or storms develop they'll be small and won't last long at any one location. The upper-level ridge that's been pretty close by will be well northeast of our area, allowing this return of moisture across the region off of the Gulf. Sunrise 7:16 a.m., sunset 8:23 p.m.
PARTY AT THE LAKE: Gates for the Party at the Lake open at Noon. Temp will be in the mid 80s, hitting the high temp in the low 90s between 3:30 and 5 p.m. It'll be back down to the mid 80s by 7:30 p.m. 10 percent chance for a brief shower or storm.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK: The rain chance gets lower heading from Sunday through the new week. The upper-level ridge will begin to build west, which should make it a little hotter. Monday's forecast high is 92...it should edge up a few degrees by Thursday. Drier air will be in place and the rain chance gets lower for next week. Good news for the southern half of the state, a tropical wave moving from the Northern Gulf toward the state will bring a decent setup for rain down there Sunday through Tuesday.
TROPICS: The National Hurricane Center upgraded the tropical depression approaching the Baja in the Eastern Pacific to Tropical Storm Ivo
. The forecast track has it moving along the Baja for the next few days, with some uncertainty on what will happen by Monday or Tuesday. With the ridge building back across the Central Plaisn most of the moisture will probably feed north into California and Arizona, though we'll watch to see its influence on parts of New Mexico.
Tropical systems in this region are efficient at boosting the rain potential over the SW United States, sometimes West Texas.
Have a great weekend. Caitlin will have a complete update to the forecast Saturday evening.