Most of the South Plains is under a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10PM. The counties under the watch are highlighted in green in the graphic below. Lubbock and Plainview are included in the watch. The main concerns with any potential storms this afternoon and evening are wind gusts in excess of 60mph and hail up to quarter size.
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A full update to the Weather Blog will be posted shortly. -Rudy
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YESTERDAY'S STORMS: Showers and thunderstorms were more widespread yesterday than Tuesday, even though Lubbock missed out. The rain totals were a little better, here are the top 24-hour totals from the Texas Tech Mesonet:
The Weather Service also relayed a couple reports of landspout tornadoes, just north of Wolfforth, and NW of Ropesville. You may recall we had a few landspouts near the Lubbock airport a few weeks back. While seeing one of these will probably grab your attention, they are not the same kind of danger from tornadoes tied to supercell thunderstorms we see in the spring. These landspouts don't last long, are weak, and usually fall apart not long after forming. When we have enough surface boundaries in place we can occasionally see these landspouts.
THIS MORNING: The high pressure ridge aloft has pushed a little farther east, across Louisiana and the northern Gulf. A minor disturbance over New Mexico is helping storms develop across western Oklahoma into Kansas. There's a severe thunderstorm watch until 5 a.m. over western OK and KS and a severe watch until 10 a.m. NE OK and SE KS. In our area we've had a few sprinkles around Lubbock County with a few thunderstorms south of our area near Midland. There is a weak front/surface boundary in the southern Panhandle, with a north wind for our northern communities and the wind out of the south rest of the area. This front could help with storm development later today.
TODAY: Hot again, partly cloudy, high near 98 in Lubbock, wind SW/S 5-15mph most of the area...though a northerly wind will be in place for the Panhandle. We have a slight chance for thunderstorms across the area this afternoon into the evening. A better chance for storms, some severe, is up across the Texas Panhandle.
NEXT FEW DAYS: The better chance for thunderstorms tomorrow will shift south, across the Permian Basin and Big Country, closer to the front. But there still could be a few isolated storms tomorrow and Saturday. A much better setup for showers and thunderstorms will be across New Mexico.
NEXT WEEK: High pressure builds back across the region, mostly sunny with mid 90s for the first few days. If the ridge builds farther west like the GFS and European models both show, we could be in northwesterly flow, which could mean some rain second half of the week into next weekend.
Rudy will have a full update to the forecast later today. Have a good one!