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NEAR-AVERAGE WEATHER: The good news is this week will be less hot than last week. The bad news is we still
don't see any signs of good, soaking rain. Lubbock reached a high temp of 97 Saturday, 93 yesterday. The average high is 93.
Upper-level ridging will be spread across most of the southern United States this week, with that big H on the weather map edging closer to our area by the middle and latter part of this week. The ridging means hot and dry weather but it'll be weaker than last week. In fact, a disturbance moving from South Texas into Northern Mexico will send some more moisture up this way. We can't rule out an isolated shower or two today, but the chance is low.
Today mostly sunny to partly cloudy, high in the upper 80s to lower 90s, Lubbock's high near 91. Wind S/SE 12-18mph. Tonight's low near 68, tomorrow's high near 91, partly cloudy, wind S/SE 12-18mph.
LATER THIS WEEK: The disturbance moving across Mexico will meet up with monsoonal moisture and produce some good rain across New Mexico and, later, Colorado. This is exactly what's needed for the firefighting efforts there. It appears high pressure is too strong here and we'll see a mostly sunny sky each afternoon Wednesday through Saturday, high temp range of 91 to 96 across the area.
4TH OF JULY: For your outdoor events Tuesday, Wednesday or Thursday no problems. It'll start close to 70 each day, top out in the low to mid 90s with a few clouds. Wind each day S/SE about 10-18mph. Please keep in mind that while we're doing a lot better this year than last year on rainfall it is still dry. If you're going to use fireworks use caution. Fireworks aren't allowed in the city. If you start a fire on someone else's property you can be held liable. Alright, enough preaching, let's celebrate this great nation!
LONG RANGE: High pressure hangs out in some form across the central United States into the weekend and early next week on the past several computer model runs. This means no good sign of rainfall soon.
DERECHO: If you speak Spanish you recognize the word, which actually has a few meanings. It's origin in this context is straight ahead, first used by Dr. Gustavus Hinrichs, a physics professor at the University of Iowa. According to the Storm Prediction Center this was back in 1888. A derecho is a long-lived destructive wind event. According to the Storm Prediction Center, it must extend more than 240 miles.
This is exactly what the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic saw Friday night, a squall line that cleared several states. At least 13 are dead, millions of people were or are without power. Leaders in Maryland, West Virginia, Ohio, the District of Columbia and Virginia declared states of emergency.Click here
- to watch radar of the destructive line of storms.
SPC has a full section on derechos here
This drives home the fact that severe wind-producing storms can be as destructive or more destructive than some tornadoes. We have to take tornadoes seriously. But you sometimes have to take these straight-line wind events just as seriously, getting to your torndo shelter.
I'm not saying every time a yellow box shows up on the radar and a severe warning is up that you need to get underground. We'll definitely let you know the difference between a storm that might be producing 1" hail, the minimum criteria for a severe warning based on hail, and a storm with widespread 90 mph gusts.
It's been a few years since tornadoes have caused damage in our area, thank goodness. But we have had significant wind and hail damage, like April 29 in southwest Lubbock County
, as well as 2007 in Seminole
and 2008 in Childress
TROPICS: All is quiet across the Gulf and Atlantic right now.
Have a great day! Rudy will have a full update later today.