Few thunderstorms possible today, better setup for rain tomorrow

Reported by: Matt Ernst
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Updated: 5/09/2013 9:39 am
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Late post here because of breaking news this morning...

We've seen low-level moisture return to the Rolling Plains early today. There are a few surface boundaries to watch today. First is a front that's pushed south of Lubbock through the morning. For the crews at the chemical leak in northeast Lubbock the wind shifted out of the north early this morning...the front has been edging south. The front should stall or may retreat slighly north through the afternoon, with cooler air north, warmer air south.

It looks like the better setup for thunderstorms will be in deeper moisture north of the front this afternoon into the evening. We'll also watch the dry line stretching south from the front...which should hang up close to U.S. 87. East of this boundary it'll be humid and south of the front warmer...so it should get unstable enough for some storms.

SEVERE THREAT: The mid-morning Storm Prediction Center severe outlook highlights areas roughly along and east of 27/87...Plainview, Lubbock, Lamesa and points east. It's not a pronounced threat in our area, but there could be some storms producing large hail and strong wind.

 
 
 


TOMORROW: A better chance for rain moves in. Lift looks pretty good and the amount of moisture in the atmosphere really ramps up. We might start the day with a few showers around and continue off and on through the day. It won't rain everywhere, but at least it's a decent chance for some showers and storms...favoring the southern and southwestern parts of our area.

LOOKING AHEAD: The weekend will be mainly sunny and slightly below the average, in the 70s. Right now the guidance is pointing to Tuesday into early Wednesday as our next chance at thunderstorms. Deeper moisture will be in place, so we may have to watch for some severe weather.

 
 
 


We'll have updates here as needed through the day.
-Matt


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