Rain chance better next few days

Reported by: Matt Ernst
Set Text Size SmallSet Text Size MediumSet Text Size LargeSet Text Size X-Large
Share
Updated: 8/16/2012 7:26 am
Connect with me on Facebook, Twitter and Google+

THIS MORNING: What was just a few isolated thunderstorms around 2 a.m. blossomed into a good complex of thunderstorms over the southern Panhandle and northern South Plains with more storms devleoping southeast of Lubbock. All the showers and storms will move ESE, adding in most locations about 1/10" of rain. These storms should fade or move out of the area by 9 a.m., many locations missing out. Here is a live stream of the radar:


Stream videos at Ustream
TODAY: Partly to mostly cloudy through mid-day into this afternoon, high in Lubbock near 93. There should be a decent north-to-south temperature contrast, from the upper 80s Dimmitt to Silverton with 93 Lubbock and upper 90s Hobbs to Lamesa and Snyder. This is because a cold front is pushing into the Panhandle this afternoon. This morning there's a pretty good contrast of cooler air north and warmer air south along the front in Kansas. That front pushing south will bring more lift to the region, producing showers and storms.

The thunderstorms should develop this afternoon around Amarillo in the Panhandle. There could be isolated showers or storms here in the afternoon. Models show it has to get up to about 91 or 92 for storm development. The complex of storms this morning can be enough to limit storm development late in the day. But there is enough heat and moisture in the mix to warrant a few storms.

Storms that develop to our north will push south and could get down here this evening into late tonight. It's another night where storms could roll through here at 1 or 4 in the morning.

TOMORROW: It'll be cooler with more showers and storms in the area. We expect clouds around early in the day then some scattered storm development as things destabilize. It won't rain all day but there is the potential for a few storms most of the day.

BEST RAIN CHANCE: Late tomorrow night into Saturday is the most-favored timeframe for showers and thunderstorms, some heavy. The front will be in our area and models advertise a pretty good upper-level disturbance moving through. This will also keep Saturday cool, high in the mid 80s. Where it rains during the day it'll probably stay in the low 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Models do diverge on how quickly the front fades and an upper-level ridge of high pressure builds in. We'll watch the guidance in the coming days, but there might be some isolated showers and storms late each day through Tuesday. No terribly hot weather in the forecast.

 
 
 


Have a great day, check back here for updates. Rudy and Caitlin will have a full update to the forecast later today.
-Matt


Share
0 Comment(s)
Comments: Show | Hide

Here are the most recent story comments.View All

No comments yet!
Lubbock Weather
51°
Clear

Wind: NE 9 mph
Feels Like: 51°
High: 76°
Low: 46°

FOX 34 Lubbock Weather Blog
Cooler end to the week, chance for rain next week
It will be a cooler end to the week with a light freeze possible across parts of the region. Find out who could see a freeze this weekend, when we could see some rain and the rest of the detailed forecast in our Weather Blog.
FOX 34 MyWARN App
FOX 34's MyWARN app keeps you updated, safe
Get the app that will only alert you if you are in a watch, warning or severe outlook. It's simple to customize. And it could provide life-saving information.
Inergize Digital This site is hosted and managed by Inergize Digital.
Mobile advertising for this site is available on Local Ad Buy.