Much colder tonight, rain or mix possible

Reported by: Matt Ernst
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Updated: 5/01/2013 11:37 am
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updated 11:36 a.m.

Quick check here at mid-day...the front is moving across the area. The wind shifted out of the north in Lubbock a couple hours ago and has been picking up. The wind will slowly get stronger late afternoon into the evening. We've already had some blowing dust. Note the temp contrast, here are the current readings:

 
 
 


 
 
 


The temp shouldn't move much around Lubbock still with some warming over the southern South Plains. All of us will get colder late today into tonight. Slight chance for light rain, possibly a mix, is still on track for late tonight through tomorrow morning.




MAJOR CHANGES AHEAD: You might be used to this trend...hot days give way to a bitter chill. It's going to happen once more. Lubbock recorded a record high of 94 yesterday, breaking the daily record by one degree.

The thunderstorms that formed with the heat and limited moisture yesterday didn't produce much rain...pretty much a few sprinkles around Lubbock. Best rain report was 0.29" at Lake Alan Henry. Unfortunately, the storms were based so high that the rain evaporated before hitting the ground. This enhanced the gusts, with some 60mph gusts and minor wind damage reported around Lubbock.

This, of course, isn't minor when it's your place. There were things like some roofs peeled back, downed trees and bent power lines.

TODAY: A strong cold front is moving from SE Colorado to the TX and OK Panhandles this morning. It's warm, with 60s and 70s across the area this morning. We'll see a large temperature range across the region. This is a range from 40s in the Texas Panhandle to 90s over the Permian Basin. Looking closer to home Lubbock should make the upper 70s mid-day with the temp falling by late afternoon on a gusty north wind. This is our general outlook for today. Keep in mind if the front is faster then more of the area will be colder, if it's slower Lubbock could hit 85.

 
 
 


TONIGHT: The north wind picks up to around 25-30mph with gusts to 40mph tonight through tomorrow morning. Clouds will increase, with some showers possible late tonight. As colder air builds in some of the rain could mix with or change to sleet or snow. This is mainly for areas north of Lubbock, but there could even be a mix as far south as Lubbock. Whatever form it falls it'll be light. The ground is plenty warm.

A light freeze is forecast for the SW Panhandle and NW South Plains. This is our forecast:

 
 
 


TOMORROW: Chance for rain or mixed precip in the morning, cloudy most of the day. It'll only make the 40s and low 50s, N wind 15-28mph.

FREEZE FRIDAY: Most areas on the Caprock, including Lubbock, should see a freeze Friday morning. We're forecasting 29 for Lubbock, this would set a new record low.

WEEKEND: Nice weather, lots of sunshine Saturday with a few more clouds Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Forecast guidance is finally trending to a pattern change. There could be a return of moisture and the setup for some storms by early in the week. We need to get closer before getting too excited over the rain potential.

 
 
 


Check back here for updates through the day. Rudy will have your updated forecast later this afternoon.
-Matt
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