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WEATHER SETUP: The national weather map is pretty quiet this morning and will stay relatively quiet next few days. There isn't a good chance for rain for us on any day. But we will watch some minor upper-level disturbances moving overhead next few days to possibly bring us some rain.
DEW POINT: The dew point shows how much water is in the air. The higher the number the more humid it is and the better setup for rain when one of those disturbances moves overhead. It's slightly more humid this morning than yesterday, dew point in the 20s, 30s and 40s from west to east across our area. But a look downstate shows the moisture isn't deep even at the Gulf Coast, only mid-50s from Kingsville to Corpus Christi to Victoria. It'll get a little more humid next few days but limited moisture will work against the setup for rain. The moisture will probably be better tomorrow, with some 50-degree dew points in our area.
Here is the current dew point map:
TODAY: It starts milder, in the 40s and low 50s this morning. We'll see a partly cloudy sky through the afternoon, high in the upper 70s to low 80s. Wind S/SE 5-15mph. There could be an isolated storm later this afternoon.
TOMORROW: It'll start mild again, low in the upper 40s to low 50s. Tomorrow's high near 78, partly cloudy. The chance for thunderstorms is a little better, but still only 20%. If storms do form a few could be strong with some hail and wind.
WEEKEND: The better moisture will probably move east of our area, but a few models do show a couple of isolated storms just east of Lubbock Saturday afternoon. The chance for any rain or storms is low, high temp near 82. Easter Sunday looks mostly sunny, sunrise at 7:36 a.m., high near 75.
NEXT WEEK: This is where the most significant change in our forecast is. The large storm system now over the Pacific looks weaker and slower, while a storm system up in Canada is stronger. There's pretty good agreement on this between the American GFS, the European and the Canadian models. As a result, we've removed the mention of any rain Monday or Tuesday and have dropped Tuesday's temperature.
A strong front should move through Monday. Right now it looks like we could have temps in the 50s to 80s spread across the area Monday afternoon with the temp falling on a gusty north wind. There will likely be a freeze down to Lubbock Tuesday morning.
Have a great day. Rudy will have the next forecast update later this afternoon.