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TODAY: This morning it's quiet and cold again, but running a few degrees warmer than yesterday's record cold. We've got 20s and some low 30s across the area, with a light SE wind. As the surface high moves off to the east and we see a tighter pressure gradient set up, it'll turn breezy and warmer this afternoon, southerly wind 15-25mph this afternoon.
Today's forecast high of 61 is still running nine degrees below the average high. Here is the forecast for the area.
MID-WEEK: It'll be cool but closer to the average tonight, upper 30s to low 40s. Mostly sunny and quite a bit warmer tomorrow, getting close to 80 in Lubbock with a SW breeze. It should stay mild, with the high in the 70s into the weekend.
CHANCE FOR RAIN: A large upper-level storm system is way out in the Pacific now and will approach the West Coast by the weekend. Ahead of the big low there will be some upper-level impulses sliding across the region. With low-level moisture returning to the region there could be some isolated to scattered thunderstorms.
Some model runs have shown 50-degree dew points returning to the area by late Thursday, but it looks like better moisture will get here Friday. The timing of these impulses will be key to thunderstorm development. An isolated storm is possible late Thursday, but right now it looks like Friday and Monday have slightly better setups than the other days. Until the big low out west clears the region we'll see those upper-level impulses moving through the stream aloft. Hopefully everything will time out for rain at least one of these days.
Stay tuned in the coming days. The guidance will get a little better next few days on the mesoscale, or smaller-scale features. These are important to determining if we could get some rain. Rudy will have the next forecast update later today.