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THIS MORNING: It's another mild, somewhat humid start to the day...70s out there with the dew point in the 60s. Like the past several days our area is between the stronger southwesterly flow to our northwest and a high pressure ridge to the south. That ridge will build closer this week, but it looks like we've got at least one more day where that ridge will be far enough removed that we could see a few storms.
THIS AFTERNOON: Hot with a mix of sun and clouds, high in the mid to upper 90s. Wind S/SE 12-25mph. There is a slight chance for thunderstorms late this afternoon into this evening. The overall pattern hasn't changed much since the middle of last week. We did have storms Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. But Saturday and yesterday there were just a few isolated storms around the region, not much in our area. It's the same thing today...not a great chance for storms, but if they form strong wind and hail will be possible.
REST OF THE WEEK: The high pressure dome expands northwestward, setting up over the Four Corners by the middle of the week...eventually moving to the Pacific Northwest by the weekend. This means it'll get sunny and hot every afternoon, up around 100. There are differences in the various forecast model runs on how strong and where exactly the ridge will be. But this is simply splitting hairs on which day will be hottest. Simply put, sunny and hot all week long.
Both the GFS and European models show an upper disturbance moving across the Great Lakes/Midwest by next weekend, with the high pressure ridge way up over the Pacific Northwest. This could knock the temp down a few degrees, but the chance for rain looks low at this point.
Have a great day. Rudy is back from vacation in Germany, he'll have your complete forecast update later today.