A Tornado Watch has been issued for Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Garza, Hockley, Kent, King, Lubbock, Lynn, Motley, Terry, Dawson, Gaines, and Scurry counties until 11pm. The counties under the watch are highlight in blue in the graphic below. A full update to the forecast will be posted shortly. -Rudy
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We continue to accumulate more rain across the South Plains this morning. Our chances for storms will continue throughout this afternoon. Likely becoming more scattered. Highest rain accumulations will likely be for our northeastern counties. Lubbock picked up 0.74" this morning at the airport, which leaves us only about a half inch below where we should be for the year. Plainview also picked up almost a quarter inch of rain in just one hour this morning.
Any storms that continue to develop do have the potential to become severe. Models are indicating some leftover energy this afternoon that could fuel strong storms, along with any day time heating that could help. The main threats would be large hail and damaging wind gusts. Timing for these storms is still questionable but whatever does pop up could become strong quickly.
The Slight Risk for severe weather is plotted below.
Models have shown a second round of scattered storms behind this morning's organized band of storms, but they are not agreeing on exactly when they could arrive. Previous runs indicated another swath of rain by the noon hour forming along the state line and moving east by the afternoon, but most recent runs are leaning towards a scattered trend.
With this being said, and with it being the holiday, make sure you stay weather aware throughout the afternoon. Because storms will be able to develop quickly and become strong fast.
A live stream of our radar is available below.
The system that has brought us these storms over the last several days continues to make its way across our region, the axis of which will move over the Panhandle. That is why our chance for storms remains for today. But behind that system is an upper level ridge, that will dry us up. We could see some wraparound precipitation for our far eastern counties as late as Tuesday afternoon, but chances are slim.
That ridge will keep us dry through mid week and models are starting to backtrack on rain chances for the end of the week. We will watch the potential is it gets closer, but we will likely remain dry and warm with temperatures in the mid 80s and mostly sunny skies.
Join me on Good Day Lubbock this morning. Rudy will have your afternoon update on any storms that do develop.