Severe threat continues through Memorial Day

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Updated: 5/25 5:34 pm
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A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING is in effect for Parmer, Castro, Bailey, Lamb, Cochran, Hockley, Yoakum, Terry, Gaines and Lea counties until 110:00 p.m. central time. The main threats with any storms that do develop will be large hail and damaging wind in excess of 60 mph.

Track any storms at any time with our live stream radar below.

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That does not mean the central and eastern counties may not get strong or even severe storms overnight tonight. The Storm Prediction Center plots the central and western counties under a slight risk for severe weather, so there is potential for that further east tonight than last night. The Slight Risk is plotted below.

 
 
 


Storms have the best potential to form in eastern New Mexico this evening and begin to move across the state line any time after 8:00 p.m. or 9:00 p.m. This could be a very similar situation to last night with storms, becoming more widespread as they move east.

By morning, our eastern counties will have the best chance to see the rain and leftover storms. Then, models are showing another batch of storms once again developing along the state line and becoming scattered to widespread as they move east by 4:00 p.m. or 5:00 p.m.

With any storms that do pop up on your Memorial Day, they also have the chance to become strong or severe, especially for our southeast counties. They are under a Slight Risk, which is plotted below.

 
 
 


By late Monday, leftover storms will push east as the closed off upper level low providing them finally shifts east. This rotating system is why our rain and storms have come in shifts, because it creates bands as it turns. This also means we could see some leftover showers or storms by Tuesday morning and afternoon for our far eastern areas.

For the most part, an upper level ridge will help with clearing by Tuesday, and especially into Wednesday. That is also when we will see warmer temperatures, back into the mid 80s.

Models are showing more moisture by Thursday, and especially Friday and even the chance for more showers to show up over our eastern counties. For now, this chance is barely worth a mention, we will watch the chance for more rain and storms for the end of the week as it gets closer.

 
 
 


Rain totals over the last three days are extremely impressive. We have more than doubled our rain total in Lubbock with this event compared to all of the other rain so far this year. In fact, today set the record for daily maximum rainfall at the Lubbock airport for this day. We got 1.22 inches of rain, shattering the previous record of 0.8 inch set in 1937. More totals from the last three days as of 4:00 p.m. Sunday are below.

Ralls: 5.52 in.
Roaring Springs: 4.05 in.
Floydada: 3.88 in.
Slaton: 3.82 in.
Hereford: 3.56 in.
Lubbock: 3.24 in.

Matt, Rudy and I will be watching the development of storms tonight and through tomorrow. Stay tuned here and on FOX34 for all updates.
-Caitlin
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