Active seven day outlook, including storms and rain

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Updated: 3/30/2013 6:21 pm
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Some severe weather occurred last night and we have a slight risk for more tonight through tomorrow morning for part of the South Plains. The image below shows the Slight Risk.

 
 
 


It is looking like most of the area will remain dry this evening with the exception of a few storms here and there along the dry line. The best chance for storms tonight will be for our far northeastern counties after midnight as a disturbance pushes a cold front through the area. They will be isolated in nature but could also be severe with large hail and wind gusts being the main threat. This chance will last through the morning hours tomorrow until the energy dwindles mid morning.

That doesn't leave out the opportunity for areas west of the risk area to also see some showers and thunderstorms develop.


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Because of the cloud cover and momentum from this afternoon's warm temperature we'll only get down to about 50 overnight tonight. The full effect of the cold front will come in the afternoon with highs about fifteen degrees lower than today's, near 70 and partly cloudy skies.

After Sunday we start to see big discrepancies with models and low confidence in parts of the forecast. We should see another mild low near 50 for Monday morning with a warm up back towards 80 and partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. There will be a chance for some rain and storms for our northern counties late Monday as another dry line develops off the Caprock before another cold front approaches.

The exact timing of that front is pretty much up in the air. Right now, sometime on Tuesday is our best prediction we can give you. Storms capable of being severe could once again develop along this front, especially for our east and southeast counties where there will be more moisture in place.

Storms won't be the only thing to come along with this front on Tuesday, cold temperatures are on their way as well. Models are also disagreeing on how cold it will get, we are thinking somewhere near 40 for a low and the mid to upper 50s for a high, but this could an probably will chance in the coming days we get a little closer.

 
 
 


Come Wednesday we will still see plenty of cloud cover, but we'll start to warm back up in the afternoon into the low to mid 50s. Temperatures should climb back up towards normal come Thursday, into the low 70s and upper 70s by Friday.

Stay tuned here and on FOX 34 for any severe weather updates as the night progresses. You can also visit me, Matt or Rudy's twitter and FOX 34's Facebook and Twitter pages for updates during any weather event. Also, check out the FOX 34 MyWARN app for mobile weather alerts.

I'll have more weather for you tonight on the News at Nine!
-Caitlin
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