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The entire South Plains is under a slight risk for severe weather through tonight and tomorrow.
The slight risk for tonight is plotted below.
The slight risk for tomorrow afternoon is plotted below.
The main threats tonight will be large hail up to two inches in diameter, wind gusts as strong as 75 mph, and even the chance for isolated tornadoes. Storms are likely to begin by the afternoon and evening hours for our northern counties, along a stalled out cold front.
A live stream of our radar can be viewed below.Broadcast live streaming video on Ustream
Timing wise, the strongest storms and any tornadoes are likely to form near the 9:00 hour, that does not limit strong or severe storms through the rest of the afternoon and night.
As the front hovers near our northern areas, storms are likely to become more widespread through the midnight hour. There could also be some storms developing this evening along the New Mexico border, converging with anything else that develops by tomorrow morning. Be aware of the potential for flooding with localized heavy rainfall expected with these storms.
We should get periods of tranquility, especially mid day tomorrow, perhaps a decent amount of sunshine, but scattered showers and storms will likely form again in the afternoon. Some could once again become severe, large hail and damaging wind gusts being the biggest concerns.
A similar situation with rain and storms becoming more widespread by Sunday night near midnight is a possibility, while the front continues to sit across the area. Don't be surprised if showers and storms stick around through Monday morning for our southeastern counties.
When all is said and done, we are looking at another round of decent rainfall totals. The Weather Prediction Center shows up to two inches of rain for the next two days. Highest amounts will be for our northeastern areas.
Finally, a surge of cool, dry air from a fast moving system from the northwest will push the front out of the area by Monday afternoon. This should dry us up quickly with mostly sunny skies by the afternoon and a high near 80 and northerly wind near 10 to 15 mph.
A ridge to the west of us builds back into the region leaving us with sunny skies and a high near 90 on Tuesday and back into the upper 90s by Wednesday. A second front by Wednesday night should cool us off a bit by Thursday and bring us a slight chance for storms by then.
Stay tuned here, on all FOX34 channels and on Matt, Rudy and I's social media pages for severe weather updates as you need them.