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This weekend has brought us near 70 degree temperatures and cloud cover, but the clouds will slowly dissipate by tomorrow morning. The lack of that "blanket" will allow us to cool to the low to mid 30s tomorrow morning. We will rebound quickly in the afternoon with another high near 70 and sunny skies.
As a weak upper level ridge builds into the area, Tuesday will be another warm day starting in the upper 30s. Winds will pick up in the afternoon to near 15 to 25 mph and the temperatures will pick up too. Expect a high in the low to mid 70s with mostly sunny skies.
An upper level trough quickly pushes that ridge out of the area by Wednesday and also drags a strong cold front through the Panhandle, increasing clouds for us on the South Plains. A surface low to our west will hold the front to the north and east of Lubbock, so we should warm into the 60s for the afternoon, but much cooler for our northeastern areas. If the front overcomes the warm air advection on Wednesday then our highs will be much cooler.
The front should finally move through on Thursday morning. Along with a sharp temperature drop we will also have a chance for a wintry mix to fall starting early Thursday morning. Models are beginning to agree on a cold Thursday afternoon with a continued chance for a wintry mix or even some snow. They still disagree on precipitation amounts so as that day gets closer we should have a better idea.
It will only get colder from there. We have dropped temperatures for the end of the week compared to yesterday's forecast, but It would not surprise us if we ended up with highs even colder than the 30s for the end of the week as more and more polar air gets pushed into the area behind the front.
Regardless, it will be cold, especially in the mornings by next weekend. As this system continues to develop and grow nearer will will watch its strength and precipitation chances.
Join Kurt, Nick and I for the News at Nine tonight. Matt will have an updated blog tomorrow morning.