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9:45PM Update: The upper-level low pressure system that is the cause for our rain chances over the next couple of days is moving much slower than we originally anticipated. Due to this our rain chances have now been pushed back starting with some light rain possible tomorrow morning with the better chance for more widespread heavier rain tomorrow afternoon and especially tomorrow night into Thursday morning. It still looks like we could see some snow mix in across the areas where temperatures cool to below freezing. The rest of the forecast from the original blog post below should be pretty much on track. Matt will have a full update tomorrow morning.
Today turned out to be almost identical to yesterday with near average temperatures and mostly cloudy conditions. Below is a look at some of our morning lows and afternoon highs from today.
The big show starts tonight as an upper-level low pressure system moves into Texas and provides the state with some decent rainfall. This system is moving a little slower than we originally anticipated meaning we won’t start to see rain until tonight or really tomorrow morning. Rain chances will continue throughout the day tomorrow and last into Thursday morning. Rainfall amounts will be decent with the entire area receiving between .5” to 1” with some isolated locations seeing more. The eastern half of the state could see between 5” to 6” of rain! Below is a graphic produced by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
showing the forecasted rainfall amounts from tonight to Thursday night.
We also have a chance to see some snow mixed in with the rain especially in our western and northwestern counties where temperatures will be a bit cooler. With the abundance of moisture we have in place any snowfall we see could add up really quickly but at the same time due to all the moisture, temperatures won’t cool off that much. This is something we will be monitoring very closely because just a few degrees difference could mean the difference between seeing rain or snow. The best time frame to see snow will be late Wednesday into early Thursday. Below is another graphic produced by the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center
showing the chances to see over 2 inches of snow. They show about a 10-30 percent chance for the western half of the region with the highest chance along the Texas/New Mexico state line.
All precipitation will clear out Thursday morning with winds shifting to the west bringing in drier and warmer air. After Thursday we will stay rain free into at least the beginning of next week.
On top of the rainy and wet conditions tomorrow it will also be windy and cold. A cold front will move through in the morning ushering in a brisk north wind of about 15-25mph. With temperatures only warming into the upper 30s and lower 40s, when you factor in the wind it will feel like it’s below freezing the entire day. A west wind on Thursday will help warm us back into the 50s and we warm into the 60s on Friday. Late Friday night into early Saturday morning our next cold front will move through cooling our afternoon highs back down into the 30s and 40s for the weekend and beginning of next week.
I will step you through this very busy forecast tonight on the News at Nine. Matt will have the next forecast update for you first thing tomorrow morning.